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When the tree meets the parish

Theoretical ancestors vs. the local breeding population

Ancestors required (2n)
Local breeding population
Collapse threshold
Parishes within walking distance6
Average parish population400
Reproducing fraction25%
Crossover

The coupling horizon

We are all the product of a successful connection — successful in a simple biological sense. The pool of possible partners — the breeding population, in the technical register — is determined by the coupling horizon: how far a person could realistically travel to find one. Before roads, railways and air travel, that horizon was probably 5–10 miles, with longer journeys rare. The pool is a product of three coupled factors: how many settlements fall within that radius, how large they are, and what fraction of their inhabitants will go on to have children. Change any one and the ceiling shifts; change the underlying technology of movement and all three shift together.